Tempered Expectations
Posted on August 16th, 2008 by The ProwlerWith regards to Pitt football, there are generally two camps (within those of us who actually follow it regularly, that is). The first camp is the one that has extremely high expectations. Pitt will win 9-10 games this season and at least have a shot at a BCS bowl. The second camp is the ever optimistic “we will be lucky to be .500 and we need to fire the coach, the athletic director, the president of the university, and all the mail room clerks” camp.
One side has faith, but can have so much faith, that a solid season could be perceived as a let down. The other side thinks Pitt sucks (even though they consider themselves fans) and even if Pitt wins 10 games this season, they will find a reason to complain or question the accomplishment.
What can be hard to find are more objective expectations of what this Pitt team can do. This isn’t to bash people in either of the other two camps. But just like in basketball, there were Pitt fans all season who wanted Dixon fired and fans who thought they’d win the national championship. What we really need in order to gauge how good this team can be are those objective expectations from people not emotionally attached to the team or university.
We all know that it can be hard to get objectivity out of the local Pittsburgh media. You would think that they would support the team, but (especially the columnists for the Post-Gazette) they usually tear the team down. Likewise the national media (by which I mean ESPN and the like as opposed to websites and publications that actually spend their time looking at all the teams instead of their 5 favorites) tends to be overly hard on the Big East and therefore teams like Pitt get passed over while they only mention WVU in their obligatory Big East coverage.
If he has done nothing else in his time as Pitt football coach Dave Wannstedt has successfully built hype around his program, mainly through solid recruiting, to the point where the national media finds themselves forced to at least acknowledge Pitt.
The thing is, once you recognize that you need to at least look at Pitt, they become difficult to ignore. Getting into the roster and behind the numbers, all of a sudden Pitt looks much better than what those outside of the Pitt fanbase expected.
This culminated today on ESPN News Pregame, where two different football analysts during two different segments suggested that Pitt could win the Big East this year. Joe Schaad and Todd McShay both see Pitt as having the potential to be Big East champs, with McShay even saying that Pitt is, in his opinion, the most underrated team in the nation this year. Neither Schaad nor McShay suggested that Pitt was in any way a lock for the Big East title. But they both recognized that Wannstedt has put together a solid team and that Pitt has enough offensive weapons as well as a solid defense that they could well be Big East contenders.
These expectations from national media are what I would consider more objective because neither Schaad nor McShay has a real stake in Pitt being any good. But McShay believes in the team so much that he flew to Pittsburgh (he said in the segment, though it could have just been a nice backdrop) for the segment just to emphasize how good he thinks Pitt is. Of course both used the word “could” in regards to Pitt winning the Big East.
Now this kind of media coverage becomes the blessing and the curse for Dave Wannstedt and Pitt. It is one thing for the fanbase to pick the team to be good. The local media is almost irrelevant because you have either the guys paid to say nice things about the teams they cover or the other guys who are paid to hate all the local teams. But when the analysts start picking the team to do well, it becomes “put up or shut up” time.
Dave Wannstedt could have survived a 7-5 season at Pitt this season without national media attention. But every article, segment, or prediction by a major outlet or analyst that suggests that Pitt is a 9-10 win team this year that could win the Big East; the harder it is going to be for Wannstedt to survive as coach if he doesn’t have a 9-10 win season. He is now the product of his own expectations.
We have been willing to wait for his recruits to be on the field. We have been willing to watch the team struggle as he implemented a new system. We have been willing to allow injuries to excuse a failure to meet expectations. All of this is because Wannstedt and Pitt have been pointing us towards this year as the pay off year.
For the last three years we have tempered our expectations. Many of us are still doing so this year, believing that 8 wins is both achievable and a realistic expectation. With the national media jumping on board, there is only one thing left for Wannstedt and this Pitt team to do: win!!
